Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 57.14%. A draw had a probability of 23.25% and a win for Karpaty Lviv had a probability of 19.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%) , while for a Karpaty Lviv win it was 0-1 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.