Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karpaty Lviv win with a probability of 47.25%. A win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 28.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Karpaty Lviv win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 0-1 (7.46%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.