Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karpaty Lviv win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Varnamo had a probability of 32.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Karpaty Lviv win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.6%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest Varnamo win was 2-1 (7.63%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.