Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a GAIS win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for Karpaty Lviv had a probability of 27.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a GAIS win was 1-2 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.36%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Karpaty Lviv win was 1-0 (7.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.