Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a GAIS win with a probability of 57.44%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 22.23% and a draw had a probability of 20.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a GAIS win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.62%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-2 (5.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.