Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 61.59%. A draw had a probability of 23.62% and a win for LNZ Cherkasy had a probability of 14.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.55%) and 1-2 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.36%) , while for a LNZ Cherkasy win it was 1-0 (6.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.