Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 52.68%. A draw had a probability of 26.04% and a win for FC Oleksandriya had a probability of 21.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.84%) and 1-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%) , while for a FC Oleksandriya win it was 1-0 (7.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood.