Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rustavi win with a probability of 38.28%. A win for FC Oleksandriya had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 28.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rustavi win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest FC Oleksandriya win was 1-0 (8.64%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.