Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shkendija win with a probability of 36.34%. A win for FC Oleksandriya had a probability of 36.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shkendija win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (5.62%). The likeliest FC Oleksandriya win was 1-0 (9.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.