Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metalist Kharkiv win with a probability of 50.95%. A draw had a probability of 27.39% and a win for FC Oleksandriya had a probability of 21.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metalist Kharkiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%) , while for a FC Oleksandriya win it was 0-1 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.