Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 45.21%. A win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.1%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Metalist Kharkiv win was 1-2 (7.07%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.