Club Friendlies 3
Feb 12, 2026 12.00am
Aker Stadion

Molde vs Metalist Kharkiv - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Molde

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 6, 2026 2.00pm
Kristiansund 0 - 0 Molde

Metalist Kharkiv

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 11, 2026 12.00am
Metalist Kharkiv 0 - 0 Jeonbuk

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Molde win with a probability of 45.21%. A win for Metalist Kharkiv has a probability of 30.85% and a draw has a probability of 23.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Molde win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.1%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Metalist Kharkiv win is 1-2 (7.07%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.48%).

Result

Molde 45.21% (-1.61)
Draw 23.94% (+0.21)
Metalist Kharkiv 30.85% (+1.46)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.71% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.73% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 21.27% (+0.13)
Over 2.5 55.74% (-0.25)
Under 2.5 44.26% (+0.25)
Over 3.5 34.09% (-0.25)
Under 3.5 65.91% (+0.25)
Over 4.5 20.57% (-0.24)
Under 4.5 79.43% (+0.25)

First Half Winner

Molde 35%
Draw 42.45%
Metalist Kharkiv 22.55%

Team To Score First

Molde 52.69% (-0.04)
No Goal 5.6% (+0.07)
Metalist Kharkiv 41.71% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 56.17%
Equal 8 11.09%
Under 8 32.74%
Over 9 45.01%
Equal 9 11.16%
Under 9 43.83%
Over 10.5 34.66%
Under 10.5 65.34%

Molde Goals

Over 1.5 45.83% (-1.40)
Under 1.5 54.17% (+1.40)
Over 2.5 21.32% (-1.08)
Under 2.5 78.68% (+1.08)
Over 3.5 8.49% (-0.57)
Under 3.5 91.51% (+0.57)

Metalist Kharkiv Goals

Over 0.5 66.53% (+1.16)
Under 0.5 33.47% (-1.17)
Over 1.5 34.6% (+1.18)
Under 1.5 65.4% (-1.18)
Over 2.5 13.8% (+0.75)
Under 2.5 86.2% (-0.74)
Over 3.5 4.6% (+0.32)
Under 3.5 95.4% (-0.32)

Score analysis

Molde 45.21%
Draw 23.95%
Metalist Kharkiv 30.86%
Molde
2-1 @ 9.23% (-0.17)
1-0 @ 9.1% (-0.12)
2-0 @ 6.83% (-0.26)
3-1 @ 4.63% (-0.21)
3-0 @ 3.52% (-0.23)
3-2 @ 3.46% (-0.07)
Other @ 8.44% (-0.57)
Total : 45.21%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.48% (+0.12)
0-0 @ 5.6% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 5.6% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.05%
Total : 23.95%
Metalist Kharkiv
1-2 @ 7.07% (+0.23)
0-1 @ 6.59% (+0.25)
0-2 @ 4.67% (+0.27)
1-3 @ 3.3% (+0.18)
2-3 @ 2.85% (+0.08)
0-3 @ 1.83% (+0.18)
Other @ 4.55% (+0.32)
Total : 30.86%