Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 47.99%. A win for Kristiansund had a probability of 29.7% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.31%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Kristiansund win was 2-1 (6.73%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.