Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aalesund win with a probability of 47.17%. A win for Kristiansund had a probability of 30.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Aalesund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.26%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Kristiansund win was 1-2 (7.04%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.