Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metalist Kharkiv win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for Pardubice had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metalist Kharkiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Pardubice win was 0-1 (8.91%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.