Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 17
Feb 23, 2026 11.00am
KSK Nika

FC Oleksandriya vs Obolon Kyiv - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Oleksandriya

All competitions
Ukrainian Premier League
Last game
Dec 13, 2025 2.00pm
Oleksandriya 1 - 1 Kudrivka
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
João Paulo dos Santos Pereira

Obolon Kyiv

All competitions
Ukrainian Premier League
Last game
Dec 13, 2025 2.00pm
Obolon 1 - 3 Metalist Kharkiv
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Denys Ustymenko

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Oleksandriya win with a probability of 51.77%. A draw had a probability of 27.83% and a win for Obolon Kyiv had a probability of 20.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Oleksandriya win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.11%) , while for a Obolon Kyiv win it was 0-1 (8.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result

FC Oleksandriya 51.77% (-0.03)
Draw 27.83% (-0.03)
Obolon Kyiv 20.39% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.71% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 63.13% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 36.87% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 38.23% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 61.76% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 18.3% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 81.7% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 9.88% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 90.12% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

FC Oleksandriya 30.01%
Draw 49.86% (-0.03)
Obolon Kyiv 20.13% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

FC Oleksandriya 53.64%
No Goal 12.11% (-0.07)
Obolon Kyiv 34.25% (+0.07)

Corners

Over 8 51.47% (+0.15)
Equal 8 11.94% (+0.09)
Under 8 36.59% (-0.22)
Over 9 39.89% (+0.05)
Equal 9 11.58% (+0.09)
Under 9 48.53% (-0.15)
Over 10.5 29.58% (-0.03)
Under 10.5 70.42% (+0.02)

FC Oleksandriya Goals

Over 1.5 40.29% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 59.71% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 16.7% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 83.3% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 5.34% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 94.66% (-0.03)

Obolon Kyiv Goals

Over 0.5 51.71% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 48.29% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 17.79% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 82.21% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 4.28%
Under 2.5 95.72%
Over 3.5 0.96%
Under 3.5 99.04%

Score analysis

FC Oleksandriya 51.77%
Draw 27.84%
Obolon Kyiv 20.4%
FC Oleksandriya
1-0 @ 16.19%
2-0 @ 9.8% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.5% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.87% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 3.86% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.01)
Other @ 5.33% (+0.03)
Total : 51.77%
Draw
0-0 @ 12.11% (-0.07)
1-1 @ 11.98% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.33% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.84%
Obolon Kyiv
0-1 @ 8.58% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 4.85% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.11%
1-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 20.4%

Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
Aug 10, 2025 11.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 21
Mar 11, 2025 11.00am
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT KSK Nika
  • Oleksandr Filippov 13' goal
  • Juan Alvina 16' goal
  • Oleksandr Filippov 44' goal
  • Ivan Kaliuzhnyi 61' yellowcard
  • Theo Ndicka Matam 90' goal
Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 6
Sep 13, 2024 4.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Obolon' Arena
  • Vadym Vitenchuk 58' yellowcard
  • Igor Medynskyi 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Oleksandr Filippov 31'
  • yellowcard Oleksandr Martynyuk 56'
Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 30
May 25, 2024 1.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Obolon' Arena
  • Taras Moroz 39' yellowcard
  • goal Juan Alvina 24'
  • yellowcard Kyrylo Kovalets 44'
  • goal Kyrylo Kovalets 49'
  • goal Juan Alvina 61'
Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 15
Apr 17, 2024 4.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT KSK Nika
  • Ivan Kaliuzhnyi 11' yellowcard
  • Egor Prokopenko 59' yellowcard
  • Oleksandr Belyaev 67' yellowcard
  • Vladyslav Pohorilyi 88' goal
  • Danil Skorko 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Vitaliy Grusha 42'
  • yellowcard Taras Moroz 47'
  • yellowcard Heorhii Ermakov 75'
  • goal Rostyslav Taranukha 79'
  • yellowcard Artem Vovkun 90'+1'
  • yellowcard 90'+2'
  • goal Ihor Krasnopir 90'+7'