Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Petrocub Hincesti win with a probability of 59.5%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Obolon Kyiv had a probability of 17.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Petrocub Hincesti win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.2%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%) , while for a Obolon Kyiv win it was 1-0 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.