Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botev Plovdiv win with a probability of 55.2%. A draw had a probability of 26.08% and a win for Obolon Kyiv had a probability of 18.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botev Plovdiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (10.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%) , while for a Obolon Kyiv win it was 0-1 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.