Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Prishtina win with a probability of 44.1%. A win for Obolon Kyiv had a probability of 28.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Prishtina win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.62%) and 1-2 (8.56%). The likeliest Obolon Kyiv win was 1-0 (9.82%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.