Club Friendlies 3
Feb 12, 2026 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 2
FT Obolon' Arena
  • 89' goal
  • Taras Liakh 89' goal
  • goal Rustam Turdimurodov 13'
  • goal Rustam Turdimuradov 13'

Obolon Kyiv vs Pakhtakor Tashkent - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Obolon Kyiv

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 12, 2026 8.00am
Obolon 3 - 3 HB Koge

Pakhtakor Tashkent

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 12, 2026 11.00am
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 2 - 0 Pakhtakor

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pakhtakor Tashkent win with a probability of 60.3%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Obolon Kyiv had a probability of 16.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pakhtakor Tashkent win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.4%) and 1-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%) , while for a Obolon Kyiv win it was 1-0 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result

Obolon Kyiv 16.2%
Draw 23.5%
Pakhtakor Tashkent 60.3%

Both Teams to Score: 

43.7% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.85% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 29.15% (-0.12)
Over 2.5 45.1% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 54.9% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 23.8% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 76.2% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 13.78% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 86.22% (-0.10)

Obolon Kyiv Goals

Over 1.5 16.07% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 83.93% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 3.85% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 96.15% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 0.75% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 99.25% (-0.02)

Pakhtakor Tashkent Goals

Over 0.5 81.52% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 18.48% (-0.10)
Over 1.5 51% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 49% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 24.69% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 75.31% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 9.61% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 90.39% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Obolon Kyiv 16.21%
Draw 23.49%
Pakhtakor Tashkent 60.32%
Obolon Kyiv
1-0 @ 6.37% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 4.16% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 2.42% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 1.05% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.69% (+0.01)
Total : 16.21%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.91% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.4% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 3.59% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.06% (+0.01)
Total : 23.49%
Pakhtakor Tashkent
0-1 @ 14.4% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 12.4% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 9.42%
0-3 @ 7.11%
1-3 @ 5.39% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.05% (+0.03)
Other @ 9.55% (+0.04)
Total : 60.32%