Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pakhtakor Tashkent win with a probability of 45.7%. A draw had a probability of 28.09% and a win for Botev Plovdiv had a probability of 26.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pakhtakor Tashkent win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%) , while for a Botev Plovdiv win it was 1-0 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.