Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botev Plovdiv win with a probability of 51.62%. A draw had a probability of 26.95% and a win for Spartak Varna had a probability of 21.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botev Plovdiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%) , while for a Spartak Varna win it was 0-1 (7.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.