Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pakhtakor Tashkent win with a probability of 47.01%. A draw had a probability of 27.51% and a win for Epitsentr Dunayivtsi had a probability of 25.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pakhtakor Tashkent win was 0-1 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%) , while for a Epitsentr Dunayivtsi win it was 1-0 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.