Eredivisie Gameweek 28
Mar 22, 2026 3.45pm
Euroborg

Groningen vs AZ Alkmaar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Groningen

All competitions
Last game
Mar 13, 2026 7.00pm
PEC Zwolle 1 - 1 Groningen
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Thom van Bergen

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Last game
Mar 15, 2026 1.30pm
AZ 4 - 0 Heracles
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Troy Parrott

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Groningen win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for AZ Alkmaar has a probability of 36.85% and a draw has a probability of 24.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.76%) and 2-0 (5.62%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win is 1-2 (8.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.32%).

Result

Groningen 38.5% (+0.11)
Draw 24.72% (+0.02)
AZ Alkmaar 36.85% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.8% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.58% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 20.42% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 57.3% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 42.7% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 34.94% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 65.06% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 20.31% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 79.69% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Groningen 30.88% (+0.01)
Draw 40.94%
AZ Alkmaar 28.18% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Groningen 48.62% (-0.02)
No Goal 5.27% (+0.02)
AZ Alkmaar 46.11% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 64.81% (+0.05)
Equal 8 10.79%
Under 8 24.4% (-0.05)
Over 9 53.16% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.65%
Under 9 35.19% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 41.66% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 58.34% (-0.02)

Groningen Goals

Over 1.5 41.97% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 58.03% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 18.33% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 81.67% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 6.48%
Under 3.5 93.52%

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5 72.37% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 27.63% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 40.72% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 59.28% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 17.56% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 82.44% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 6.21% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 93.79% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Groningen 38.49%
Draw 24.73%
AZ Alkmaar 36.85%
Groningen
2-1 @ 8.59%
1-0 @ 7.76% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 5.62% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.28% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.19%
3-0 @ 2.81%
Other @ 6.24%
Total : 38.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.32% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.33% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.27% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.73%
AZ Alkmaar
1-2 @ 8.29% (-0.03)
0-1 @ 7.46% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.35% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.02% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.1% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.66% (-0.03)
Other @ 5.97% (-0.04)
Total : 36.85%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Aug 10, 2025 1.30pm
4
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Gameweek 32
May 11, 2025 3.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT AFAS Stadion
  • Sven Mijnans 9' goal
  • Ernest Poku 30' goal
  • Ruben van Bommel 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Mexx Meerdink 48' goal
  • yellowcard Hjalmar Ekdal 39'
  • yellowcard Wouter Prins 81'
KNVB Beker
Dec 18, 2024 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne
  • Sven Mijnans 4' goal
  • Ruben van Bommel 70' goal
  • Jayden Addai 84' goal
  • goal Leandro Bacuna 41'
Eredivisie Gameweek 3
Aug 25, 2024 11.15am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Euroborg
  • Leandro Bacuna 28' yellowcard
  • Romano Postema 34' yellowcard
  • Finn Stam 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Wouter Goes 23'
Eredivisie Gameweek 25
Mar 11, 2023 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jesper Karlsson 4' goal
Eredivisie Gameweek 8
Oct 1, 2022 5.45pm
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Ricardo Pepi 42' goal
  • goal Dani de Wit 3'
  • goal Jesper Karlsson 19'
  • goal Kerkez Milos 62'
  • goal Mayckel Lahdo 85'