Eredivisie
Mar 22, 2026 3.45pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Euroborg
  • Marvin Peersman 36' yellowcard
  • Brynjólfur Willumsson 57' yellowcard
  • Thom van Bergen 58' goal
  • Tygo Land 76' goal
  • Wouter Prins 77' yellowcard
  • Tyrique Mercera 88' yellowcard
  • Rui Mendes 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Elijah Dijkstra 46'
  • yellowcard Billy van Duijl 46'
  • yellowcard Mexx Meerdink 66'
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Sadiq 67'
  • yellowcard Rion Ichihara 82'

Groningen vs AZ Alkmaar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Groningen

All competitions
Last game
Mar 13, 2026 7.00pm
PEC Zwolle 1 - 1 Groningen
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Thom van Bergen

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Last game
Mar 15, 2026 1.30pm
AZ 4 - 0 Heracles
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Troy Parrott

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 35.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.55%) and 0-2 (5.75%). The likeliest Groningen win was 2-1 (8.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result

Groningen 35.26% (-0.04)
Draw 24.55%
AZ Alkmaar 40.16% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.08%

Goals

Over 1.5 80.32% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 19.68% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 58.51% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 41.45% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 36.11%
Under 3.5 63.89%
Over 4.5 21.28%
Under 4.5 78.72%

First Half Winner

Groningen 28.8%
Draw 40.72%
AZ Alkmaar 30.48%

Team To Score First

Groningen 45.42%
No Goal 5.04%
AZ Alkmaar 49.54%

Corners

Over 8 64.06%
Equal 8 10.74%
Under 8 25.2%
Over 9 52.55%
Equal 9 11.51%
Under 9 35.94%
Over 10.5 41.25%
Under 10.5 58.75%

Groningen Goals

Over 1.5 39.96% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 60.04% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 17.17% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 82.83% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 6%
Under 3.5 94%

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5 74.74%
Under 0.5 25.26%
Over 1.5 44.07% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 55.93% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 20.07% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 79.93% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 7.46% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 92.54% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Groningen 35.26%
Draw 24.55%
AZ Alkmaar 40.15%
Groningen
2-1 @ 8.08% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.05%
2-0 @ 4.94% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.92%
3-2 @ 3.08% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.49% (-0.01)
Other @ 5.7%
Total : 35.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.12%
2-2 @ 6.41%
0-0 @ 5.04%
3-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 24.55%
AZ Alkmaar
1-2 @ 8.76%
0-1 @ 7.55%
0-2 @ 5.75%
1-3 @ 4.5% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.36%
0-3 @ 3.07%
Other @ 7.16% (+0.01)
Total : 40.15%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Aug 10, 2025 1.30pm
4
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Gameweek 32
May 11, 2025 3.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT AFAS Stadion
  • Sven Mijnans 9' goal
  • Ernest Poku 30' goal
  • Ruben van Bommel 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Mexx Meerdink 48' goal
  • yellowcard Hjalmar Ekdal 39'
  • yellowcard Wouter Prins 81'
KNVB Beker
Dec 18, 2024 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne
  • Sven Mijnans 4' goal
  • Ruben van Bommel 70' goal
  • Jayden Addai 84' goal
  • goal Leandro Bacuna 41'
Eredivisie Gameweek 3
Aug 25, 2024 11.15am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Euroborg
  • Leandro Bacuna 28' yellowcard
  • Romano Postema 34' yellowcard
  • Finn Stam 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Wouter Goes 23'
Eredivisie Gameweek 25
Mar 11, 2023 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jesper Karlsson 4' goal
Eredivisie Gameweek 8
Oct 1, 2022 5.45pm
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Ricardo Pepi 42' goal
  • goal Dani de Wit 3'
  • goal Jesper Karlsson 19'
  • goal Kerkez Milos 62'
  • goal Mayckel Lahdo 85'