Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Groningen win was 1-2 (7.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.