Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 41.72%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 34.7% and a draw had a probability of 23.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.32%) and 2-0 (5.55%). The likeliest Groningen win was 1-2 (7.93%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.