Eredivisie Gameweek 21
Jan 31, 2026 8.00pm
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel

Sparta Rotterdam vs Groningen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions
Last game
Jan 25, 2026 3.45pm
Utrecht 0 - 0 Sparta
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Tobias Lauritsen

Groningen

All competitions
Last game
Jan 25, 2026 1.30pm
Groningen 0 - 0 Sittard
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Stije Resink

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 41.59%. A win for Groningen has a probability of 34.99% and a draw has a probability of 23.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.16%) and 2-0 (5.44%). The likeliest Groningen win is 1-2 (7.86%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.09%).

Result

Sparta Rotterdam 41.59% (+0.08)
Draw 23.38%
Groningen 34.99% (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.58% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.57% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 17.43% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 62.5% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 37.5% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 40.42%
Under 3.5 59.58%
Over 4.5 25.1% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 74.9% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Sparta Rotterdam 32.93% (-0.01)
Draw 40.28% (+0.01)
Groningen 26.79% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Sparta Rotterdam 49.27% (+0.02)
No Goal 4.3% (-0.01)
Groningen 46.43%

Corners

Over 8 66.79%
Equal 8 10.17%
Under 8 23.04%
Over 9 55.66%
Equal 9 11.13%
Under 9 33.21%
Over 10.5 44.48% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 55.52% (-0.01)

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 1.5 47.01% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 52.99% (-0.12)
Over 2.5 22.73% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 77.27% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 8.97% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 91.03% (-0.04)

Groningen Goals

Over 0.5 71.38% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 28.62% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 41.83% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 58.17% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 19.1% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 80.9% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 7.09% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 92.91% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Sparta Rotterdam 41.6%
Draw 23.38%
Groningen 34.99%
Sparta Rotterdam
2-1 @ 8.7% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 7.16% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.44% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.82% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.79% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.1% (+0.03)
Other @ 8.59% (+0.03)
Total : 41.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.09%
2-2 @ 6.56% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.3% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 2.05%
Other @ 0.38% (+0.02)
Total : 23.38%
Groningen
1-2 @ 7.86% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 5.94% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.52% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.95% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.58%
0-3 @ 2.43%
Other @ 6.71% (-0.05)
Total : 34.99%

Head to Head

KNVB Beker
Oct 30, 2025 7.00pm
5
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Oct 19, 2025 1.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Gameweek 21
Feb 2, 2025 3.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
  • Tobias Lauritsen 60' goal
  • yellowcard Brynjolfur Darri Willumsson 56'
Eredivisie Gameweek 12
Nov 9, 2024 3.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Euroborg
  • Romano Postema 31' goal
  • Marvin Peersman 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pelle Clement 30'
  • yellowcard Metinho 63'
Eredivisie Gameweek 34
May 28, 2023 1.30pm
0
5
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Jonathan de Guzman 25'
  • goal Koki Saito 58'
  • goal Arno Verschueren 75'
  • goal Tobias Lauritsen 79'
  • goal Vito van Crooij 89'
Eredivisie Gameweek 7
Sep 17, 2022 3.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Sven Mijnans 73' goal
  • Vito van Crooij 90' goal
  • goal Ricardo Pepi 61'