Eredivisie Gameweek 21
Sparta
Jan 31, 2026 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
Groningen
  • Bruno Martins Indi 27' yellowcard
  • Shunsuke Mito 55' goal
  • Alwande Roaldsoy 81' yellowcard
  • Julian Baas 81' yellowcard
  • A. Roaldsøy 81' yellowcard
  • Shurandy Sambo 82' yellowcard
  • Mike Kleijn 88' yellowcard
  • Shunsuke Mito 90' goal
  • Mike Kleijn 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dies Janse 43'
  • yellowcard Marvin Peersman 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Marco Rente 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Tyrique Mercera 62'
  • yellowcard Wouter Prins 62'
  • yellowcard Oskar Zawada 62'
  • yellowcard Nils Eggens 86'
  • yellowcard Mark Hoekstra 86'
  • yellowcard Mark Hoekstra 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Younes Taha 90'+5'

Sparta Rotterdam vs Groningen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions
Last game
Jan 25, 2026 3.45pm
Utrecht 0 - 1 Sparta
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Tobias Lauritsen

Groningen

All competitions
Last game
Jan 25, 2026 1.30pm
Groningen 1 - 2 Sittard
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Thom van Bergen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 41.72%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 34.7% and a draw had a probability of 23.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.32%) and 2-0 (5.55%). The likeliest Groningen win was 1-2 (7.93%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result

Sparta Rotterdam 41.72% ▲ (+0.23)
Draw 23.54% ▲ (+0.18)
Groningen 34.7% ▼ (-0.42)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.98% ▼ (-0.61)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.19% ▼ (-0.38)
Under 1.5 17.81% ▲ (+0.37)
Over 2.5 61.78% ▼ (-0.73)
Under 2.5 38.22% ▲ (+0.73)
Over 3.5 39.44% ▼ (-1.04)
Under 3.5 60.56% ▲ (+1.04)
Over 4.5 24.15% ▼ (-0.99)
Under 4.5 75.85% ▲ (+0.98)

First Half Winner

Sparta Rotterdam 32.94% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 40.3% ▼ (-0.02)
Groningen 26.76% ▲ (+0.03)

Team To Score First

Sparta Rotterdam 49.19% ▼ (-0.07)
No Goal 4.41% ▲ (+0.12)
Groningen 46.4% ▼ (-0.06)

Corners

Over 8 66.81% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 8 10.16% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 23.03% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 9 55.68% ▼ (-0.03)
Equal 9 11.13% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 9 33.19% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 10.5 44.5%
Under 10.5 55.5%

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 1.5 46.76% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 1.5 53.24% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 2.5 22.36% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 2.5 77.64% ▲ (+0.30)
Over 3.5 8.66% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 3.5 91.34% ▲ (+0.28)

Groningen Goals

Over 0.5 71.22% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 0.5 28.78% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 1.5 41.23% ▼ (-0.71)
Under 1.5 58.77% ▲ (+0.71)
Over 2.5 18.45% ▼ (-0.74)
Under 2.5 81.55% ▲ (+0.74)
Over 3.5 6.63% ▼ (-0.51)
Under 3.5 93.37% ▲ (+0.52)

Score analysis

Sparta Rotterdam 41.73%
Draw 23.54%
Groningen 34.71%
Sparta Rotterdam
2-1 @ 8.81% ▲ (+0.15)
1-0 @ 7.32% ▲ (+0.17)
2-0 @ 5.55% ▲ (+0.13)
3-1 @ 4.84% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.73% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 3.16% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 8.32% ▼ (-0.25)
Total : 41.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.28% ▲ (+0.19)
2-2 @ 6.54% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.41% ▲ (+0.12)
3-3 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.34% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 23.54%
Groningen
1-2 @ 7.93% ▲ (+0.06)
0-1 @ 6.06% ▲ (+0.11)
0-2 @ 4.58% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 3.91% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 3.5% ▼ (-0.11)
0-3 @ 2.44% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 6.29% ▼ (-0.48)
Total : 34.71%

Head to Head

KNVB Beker
Sparta
Oct 30, 2025 7.00pm
5
2
HT : 1 2
FT Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
Groningen
  • Sayfallah Ltaief 2' goal
  • Julian Baas 30' yellowcard
  • Tobias Lauritsen 46' goal
  • Bruno Martins Indi 53' goal
  • Pelle Clement 57' yellowcard
  • Bruno Martins Indi 68' yellowcard
  • Ayoub Oufkir 72' goal
  • Ayoub Oufkir 90'+2' goal
  • goal Younes Taha 10'
  • goal Thom van Bergen 20'
  • redcard Etienne Vaessen  85'
Eredivisie
Groningen
Oct 19, 2025 1.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Euroborg
Sparta
  • Thijmen Blokzijl 38' yellowcard
  • Dies Janse 88' yellowcard
  • Tygo Land 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Tobias Lauritsen 15'
  • yellowcard Lance Duijvestijn 60'
  • yellowcard Jens Toornstra 73'
  • goal Patrick van Aanholt 89'
Eredivisie Gameweek 21
Sparta
Feb 2, 2025 3.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
Groningen
  • Tobias Lauritsen 60' goal
  • yellowcard Brynjolfur Darri Willumsson 56'
Eredivisie Gameweek 12
Groningen
Nov 9, 2024 3.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Euroborg
Sparta
  • Romano Postema 31' goal
  • Marvin Peersman 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pelle Clement 30'
  • yellowcard Metinho 63'
Eredivisie Gameweek 34
Groningen
May 28, 2023 1.30pm
0
5
HT : 0 1
FT
Sparta
  • goal Jonathan de Guzman 25'
  • goal Koki Saito 58'
  • goal Arno Verschueren 75'
  • goal Tobias Lauritsen 79'
  • goal Vito van Crooij 89'
Eredivisie Gameweek 7
Sparta
Sep 17, 2022 3.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Groningen
  • Sven Mijnans 73' goal
  • Vito van Crooij 90' goal
  • goal Ricardo Pepi 61'

Form Data

Utrecht 0 - 1 Sparta
Feyenoord 3 - 4 Sparta
Sparta 1 - 2 Volendam
Sparta 2 - 0 Heracles
Volendam 0 - 1 Sparta
Willem II 1 - 5 Sparta
Groningen 1 - 2 Sittard
Heerenveen 0 - 2 Groningen
Groningen 0 - 0 NAC Breda
Groningen 0 - 4 Bodo/Glimt
Go Ahead Eagles 1 - 1 Groningen
Groningen 3 - 0 Volendam