Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 51.46%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 25.61% and a draw had a probability of 22.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 1-2 (6.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.