Eredivisie Gameweek 19
Jan 18, 2026 11.15am
Abe Lenstra Stadion

Heerenveen vs Groningen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Heerenveen

All competitions
Last game
Jan 11, 2026 11.15am
Heerenveen 2 - 2 Feyenoord
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Jacob Trenskow

Groningen

All competitions
Last game
Jan 10, 2026 8.00pm
Groningen 0 - 0 NAC Breda
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Stije Resink

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Heerenveen win with a probability of 48.55%. A win for Groningen has a probability of 27.12% and a draw has a probability of 24.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Groningen win is 1-2 (6.82%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.87%).

Result

Heerenveen 48.55% (+3.92)
Draw 24.33% (+0.06)
Groningen 27.12% (-4.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.75% (-1.41)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.56% (-0.65)
Under 1.5 20.44% (+0.66)
Over 2.5 57.49% (-1.13)
Under 2.5 42.51% (+1.16)
Over 3.5 34.76% (-1.40)
Under 3.5 65.21% (+1.36)
Over 4.5 20.66% (-0.58)
Under 4.5 79.34% (+0.58)

First Half Winner

Heerenveen 37.14% (+5.18)
Draw 38.8% (-1.93)
Groningen 24.05% (-3.27)

Team To Score First

Heerenveen 56.97% (+5.38)
No Goal 5.59% (+0.34)
Groningen 37.44% (-5.72)

Corners

Over 8 63.79% (+0.69)
Equal 8 11.04% (+0.10)
Under 8 25.16% (-0.81)
Over 9 51.96% (+0.50)
Equal 9 11.83% (+0.20)
Under 9 36.21% (-0.69)
Over 10.5 40.39% (+0.25)
Under 10.5 59.61% (-0.25)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 1.5 50.24% (+2.67)
Under 1.5 49.76% (-2.67)
Over 2.5 24.54% (+1.83)
Under 2.5 75.46% (-1.84)
Over 3.5 9.96% (+1.22)
Under 3.5 90.04% (-1.21)

Groningen Goals

Over 0.5 63.87% (-3.70)
Under 0.5 36.13% (+3.71)
Over 1.5 32.04% (-4.21)
Under 1.5 67.96% (+4.20)
Over 2.5 12.5% (-2.66)
Under 2.5 87.5% (+2.66)
Over 3.5 3.71% (-1.10)
Under 3.5 96.29% (+1.11)

Score analysis

Heerenveen 48.56%
Draw 24.33%
Groningen 27.11%
Heerenveen
2-1 @ 9.58% (+0.59)
1-0 @ 8.79% (+0.56)
2-0 @ 7.56% (+0.88)
3-1 @ 5.32% (+0.16)
3-0 @ 4.55% (+0.72)
3-2 @ 3.12% (-0.13)
Other @ 9.64% (+1.17)
Total : 48.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.87% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.96% (-0.25)
0-0 @ 5.59% (+0.34)
3-3 @ 1.59% (-0.13)
Other @ 0.32% (+0.04)
Total : 24.33%
Groningen
1-2 @ 6.82% (-0.73)
0-1 @ 6.06% (-0.29)
0-2 @ 3.64% (-0.46)
1-3 @ 2.82% (-0.73)
2-3 @ 2.6% (-0.40)
0-3 @ 1.78% (-0.31)
Other @ 3.39% (-1.15)
Total : 27.11%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Aug 16, 2025 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Gameweek 20
Jan 25, 2025 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Euroborg
  • Luciano Valente 63' goal
Eredivisie Gameweek 6
Sep 22, 2024 11.15am
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Abe Lenstra Stadion
  • Jacob Trenskow 12' goal
  • Ion Nicolaescu 69' goal
  • Ion Nicolaescu 70' yellowcard
  • goal Luciano Valente 9'
  • redcard Marvin Peersman 63'
  • redcard Brynjolfur Darri Willumsson 82'
  • yellowcard Etienne Vaessen 86'
  • yellowcard Rui Mendes 90'
  • yellowcard Luciano Valente 90'
Eredivisie Gameweek 26
Mar 19, 2023 11.15am
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • goal Sydney van Hooijdonk 27'
  • goal Sydney van Hooijdonk 40'
Eredivisie Gameweek 17
Jan 22, 2023 11.15am
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Amin Sarr 5' goal
  • Pelle van Amersfoort 81' goal
  • Amin Sarr 82' goal
  • goal Florian Kruger 40'
Eredivisie Gameweek 26
Apr 10, 2022 11.15am
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Sydney van Hooijdonk 7' goal
  • Rami Kaib 42' yellowcard
  • Sydney van Hooijdonk 53' goal
  • Ibrahim Dresevic 65' yellowcard
  • Sven van Beek 80' goal
  • goal Neraysho Kasanwirjo 29'
  • yellowcard Neraysho Kasanwirjo 71'