Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 48.92%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 26.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Groningen win was 1-2 (6.68%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.