Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 52.03%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 26.42% and a draw had a probability of 21.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.77%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 (6.51%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9%).