Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 62.04%. A draw had a probability of 21.22% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 16.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (10.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%) , while for a Groningen win it was 0-1 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.