Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 54.01%. A draw had a probability of 24.37% and a win for Telstar had a probability of 21.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.3%) and 1-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%) , while for a Telstar win it was 1-0 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.