Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 67.76%. A draw had a probability of 19.72% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 12.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.63%) , while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 0-1 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.