Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 59.42%. A draw had a probability of 20.46% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 20.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%) , while for a Heerenveen win it was 0-1 (5.45%).