Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 26.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.73%) and 1-2 (8.26%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-0 (7.47%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.