Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 65.78%. A draw had a probability of 19.59% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 14.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%) , while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 0-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.