Eredivisie
Jan 24, 2026 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT De Grolsch Veste
  • Sam Lammers 56' yellowcard
  • Marko Pjaca 56' yellowcard
  • Daouda Weidmann 74' yellowcard
  • Mathias Kjolo 85' yellowcard
  • Arno Verschueren 85' yellowcard
  • Mathias Kjølø 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adam Carlen 46'
  • yellowcard Adam Carlén 46'
  • yellowcard Derensili Sanches Fernandes 65'
  • yellowcard Ilias Bronkhorst 65'
  • yellowcard Ilias Bronkhorst 66'
  • yellowcard Arthur Zagre 76'
  • yellowcard Noah Naujoks 76'
  • yellowcard Arthur Zagré 76'
  • yellowcard Noah Naujoks 77'
  • yellowcard Jerolldino Armantrading 89'
  • yellowcard Jerolldino Bergraaf 89'

FC Twente vs SBV Excelsior - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Twente

All competitions
Last game
Jan 18, 2026 1.30pm
Heracles 0 - 2 FC Twente
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Daan Rots

SBV Excelsior

All competitions
Last game
Jan 21, 2026 5.45pm
AZ 1 - 1 Excelsior
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Noah Naujoks

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 65.78%. A draw had a probability of 19.59% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 14.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%) , while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 0-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result

FC Twente 65.78% (+0.04)
Draw 19.59% (+0.04)
SBV Excelsior 14.67% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.97% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.92% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 22.08% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 55.96% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 44.04% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 34.26% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 65.7% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 22.84% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 77.16% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

FC Twente 53.83%
Draw 31.1%
SBV Excelsior 15.07%

Team To Score First

FC Twente 66.97% (-0.05)
No Goal 5.97% (+0.05)
SBV Excelsior 27.06%

Corners

Over 8 61.85% (-0.01)
Equal 8 11%
Under 8 27.14%
Over 9 50.28%
Equal 9 11.58%
Under 9 38.14%
Over 10.5 39.1%
Under 10.5 60.9%

FC Twente Goals

Over 1.5 59.95% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 40.05% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 34.47% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 65.53% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 16.28% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 83.72% (+0.02)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5 48.09% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 51.91% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 17.96% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 82.04% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 4.7%
Under 2.5 95.3%
Over 3.5 1.21%
Under 3.5 98.79%

Score analysis

FC Twente 65.78%
Draw 19.6%
SBV Excelsior 14.66%
FC Twente
1-0 @ 11.51% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 10.77% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.72%
3-0 @ 7.43%
3-1 @ 6.61% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.47%
Other @ 16.27% (-0.02)
Total : 65.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.16% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.97% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 3.78% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 19.6%
SBV Excelsior
0-1 @ 4.64%
1-2 @ 3.99%
0-2 @ 2.02%
2-3 @ 1.21%
1-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 1.2%
Total : 14.66%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Aug 30, 2025 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Gameweek 21
Feb 10, 2024 5.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 3
FT Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
  • Cisse Sandra 53' yellowcard
  • goal Daan Rots 2'
  • goal Ricky van Wolfswinkel 5'
  • goal Ricky van Wolfswinkel 13'
  • yellowcard Joshua Brenet 90'
Eredivisie Gameweek 15
Dec 8, 2023 7.00pm
4
2
HT : 1 2
FT De Grolsch Veste
  • Manfred Ugalde 45' goal
  • Ricky van Wolfswinkel 59' goal
  • Gijs Smal 67' yellowcard
  • Robin Propper 77' yellowcard
  • Ricky van Wolfswinkel 80' goal
  • Younes Taha 85' goal
  • goal Troy Parrott 9'
  • goal Sven Nieuwpoort 13'
  • yellowcard Noah Naujoks 24'
  • redcard Arthur Zagre 24'
  • yellowcard Marinus Dijkhuizen 25'
  • yellowcard Couhaib Driouech 26'
  • yellowcard Siebe Horemans 57'
  • yellowcard Sven Nieuwpoort 59'
Eredivisie Gameweek 27
Apr 1, 2023 5.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Gameweek 3
Aug 31, 2022 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Denilho Cleonise 1' goal
  • Christos Tzolis 8' goal
  • Vaclav Cerny 62' goal
  • Vaclav Cerny 90'+2' goal
Eredivisie
Dec 23, 2017 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Van Donge & De Roo Stadion (Rotterdam)
  • Ryan Koolwijk 54' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cristian Cuevas 26'
  • yellowcard Thomas Lam 85'