Eredivisie Gameweek 20
Jan 24, 2026 8.00pm
De Grolsch Veste

FC Twente vs SBV Excelsior - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Twente

All competitions
Last game
Jan 10, 2026 5.45pm
FC Twente 1 - 1 PEC Zwolle
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Daan Rots

SBV Excelsior

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 7.00pm
Excelsior 2 - 2 Telstar
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Noah Naujoks

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a FC Twente win with a probability of 64.58%. A draw has a probability of 19.51% and a win for SBV Excelsior has a probability of 15.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.29%) , while for a SBV Excelsior win it is 0-1 (4.64%).

Result

FC Twente 64.58% (-0.16)
Draw 19.51% (+0.21)
SBV Excelsior 15.91% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.61% (-0.47)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.06% (-0.40)
Under 1.5 19.94% (+0.41)
Over 2.5 58.67% (-0.50)
Under 2.5 41.33% (+0.50)
Over 3.5 36.61% (-0.43)
Under 3.5 63.39% (+0.43)
Over 4.5 24.22% (-0.25)
Under 4.5 75.78% (+0.25)

First Half Winner

FC Twente 53.39% (+0.08)
Draw 30.77% (-0.11)
SBV Excelsior 15.84% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

FC Twente 68.07% (+0.04)
No Goal 5.04% (+0.21)
SBV Excelsior 26.89% (-0.25)

Corners

Over 8 60.77% (-0.19)
Equal 8 11.01%
Under 8 28.22% (+0.19)
Over 9 49.29% (-0.18)
Equal 9 11.48% (-0.02)
Under 9 39.23% (+0.20)
Over 10.5 38.29% (-0.15)
Under 10.5 61.71% (+0.15)

FC Twente Goals

Over 1.5 60.84% (-0.35)
Under 1.5 39.16% (+0.35)
Over 2.5 35.29% (-0.32)
Under 2.5 64.71% (+0.31)
Over 3.5 17.16% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 82.84% (+0.10)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5 50.63% (-0.36)
Under 0.5 49.37% (+0.36)
Over 1.5 19.87% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 80.13% (+0.25)
Over 2.5 5.61%
Under 2.5 94.39%
Over 3.5 1.41% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 98.59% (+0.03)

Score analysis

FC Twente 64.58%
Draw 19.52%
SBV Excelsior 15.92%
FC Twente
1-0 @ 10.28% (+0.15)
2-0 @ 9.99% (+0.11)
2-1 @ 9.94% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 6.93% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6.89% (-0.10)
3-2 @ 3.4% (-0.15)
Other @ 17.15% (-0.09)
Total : 64.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.29% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.04% (+0.21)
2-2 @ 4.27% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 19.52%
SBV Excelsior
0-1 @ 4.64% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 4.5% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.09% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.35% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.25% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.4% (-0.03)
Total : 15.92%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Aug 30, 2025 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Gameweek 21
Feb 10, 2024 5.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 3
FT Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
  • Cisse Sandra 53' yellowcard
  • goal Daan Rots 2'
  • goal Ricky van Wolfswinkel 5'
  • goal Ricky van Wolfswinkel 13'
  • yellowcard Joshua Brenet 90'
Eredivisie Gameweek 15
Dec 8, 2023 7.00pm
4
2
HT : 1 2
FT De Grolsch Veste
  • Manfred Ugalde 45' goal
  • Ricky van Wolfswinkel 59' goal
  • Gijs Smal 67' yellowcard
  • Robin Propper 77' yellowcard
  • Ricky van Wolfswinkel 80' goal
  • Younes Taha 85' goal
  • goal Troy Parrott 9'
  • goal Sven Nieuwpoort 13'
  • yellowcard Noah Naujoks 24'
  • redcard Arthur Zagre 24'
  • yellowcard Marinus Dijkhuizen 25'
  • yellowcard Couhaib Driouech 26'
  • yellowcard Siebe Horemans 57'
  • yellowcard Sven Nieuwpoort 59'
Eredivisie Gameweek 27
Apr 1, 2023 5.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Gameweek 3
Aug 31, 2022 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Denilho Cleonise 1' goal
  • Christos Tzolis 8' goal
  • Vaclav Cerny 62' goal
  • Vaclav Cerny 90'+2' goal
Eredivisie
Dec 23, 2017 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Van Donge & De Roo Stadion (Rotterdam)
  • Ryan Koolwijk 54' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cristian Cuevas 26'
  • yellowcard Thomas Lam 85'