Eredivisie Gameweek 20
Jan 25, 2026 11.15am
BUKO Stadion

Telstar vs AZ Alkmaar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Telstar

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 7.00pm
Excelsior 2 - 2 Telstar
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Jeff Hardeveld

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 5.45pm
PEC Zwolle 2 - 0 AZ
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Troy Parrott

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 54.97%. A draw has a probability of 22.56% and a win for Telstar has a probability of 22.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a AZ Alkmaar win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (9.51%) and 0-2 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.08%) , while for a Telstar win it is 1-0 (5.64%).

Result

Telstar 22.47%
Draw 22.56%
AZ Alkmaar 54.97%

Both Teams to Score: 

57.81%

Goals

Over 1.5 79.48%
Under 1.5 20.52%
Over 2.5 57.58%
Under 2.5 42.42%
Over 3.5 36.07%
Under 3.5 63.93%
Over 4.5 22.12%
Under 4.5 77.88%

First Half Winner

Telstar 18.68%
Draw 36.91%
AZ Alkmaar 44.4%

Team To Score First

Telstar 35.02%
No Goal 5.36%
AZ Alkmaar 59.62%

Corners

Over 8 65.11%
Equal 8 10.91%
Under 8 23.97%
Over 9 53.28%
Equal 9 11.83%
Under 9 34.89%
Over 10.5 41.59%
Under 10.5 58.41%

Telstar Goals

Over 1.5 27.83%
Under 1.5 72.17%
Over 2.5 9.61%
Under 2.5 90.39%
Over 3.5 2.98%
Under 3.5 97.02%

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5 81.93%
Under 0.5 18.07%
Over 1.5 54.5%
Under 1.5 45.5%
Over 2.5 28.58%
Under 2.5 71.42%
Over 3.5 12.15%
Under 3.5 87.85%

Score analysis

Telstar 22.46%
Draw 22.56%
AZ Alkmaar 54.97%
Telstar
1-0 @ 5.64%
2-1 @ 5.52%
2-0 @ 3.19%
3-1 @ 2.32%
3-2 @ 1.92%
3-0 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 22.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.08%
2-2 @ 5.62%
0-0 @ 5.36%
3-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.56%
AZ Alkmaar
1-2 @ 9.73%
0-1 @ 9.51%
0-2 @ 8.65%
1-3 @ 6%
0-3 @ 5.2%
2-3 @ 3.89%
Other @ 11.99%
Total : 54.97%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Oct 5, 2025 3.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT