Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 54.41%. A draw had a probability of 22.83% and a win for Telstar had a probability of 22.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%) , while for a Telstar win it was 1-0 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.