Eredivisie
Jan 25, 2026 11.15am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT BUKO Stadion
  • Dylan Mertens 65' yellowcard
  • Adil Lechkar 65' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Hamdaoui 76' yellowcard
  • Kay Tejan 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Maxim Dekker 46'
  • yellowcard Isak Jensen 46'
  • yellowcard Seiya Maikuma 58'
  • goal Isak Jensen 78'
  • yellowcard Ayoub Oufkir 81'

Telstar vs AZ Alkmaar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Telstar

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 7.00pm
Excelsior 2 - 2 Telstar
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Jeff Hardeveld

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Last game
Jan 21, 2026 5.45pm
AZ 1 - 1 Excelsior
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Troy Parrott

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 54.41%. A draw had a probability of 22.83% and a win for Telstar had a probability of 22.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%) , while for a Telstar win it was 1-0 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result

Telstar 22.76% (+0.44)
Draw 22.83% (+0.17)
AZ Alkmaar 54.41% (-0.58)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.47% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.67% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 20.33% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 57.57% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 42.43% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 37.27% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 62.73% (+0.09)
Over 4.5 23.04% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 76.96% (+0.09)

First Half Winner

Telstar 19.48% (+0.27)
Draw 36.76% (+0.31)
AZ Alkmaar 43.76% (-0.58)

Team To Score First

Telstar 35.32% (-0.11)
No Goal 5.27% (+0.05)
AZ Alkmaar 59.41% (+0.06)

Corners

Over 8 63.36% (-0.42)
Equal 8 10.79% (+0.02)
Under 8 25.86% (+0.40)
Over 9 51.87% (-0.39)
Equal 9 11.49% (-0.03)
Under 9 36.64% (+0.42)
Over 10.5 40.65% (-0.33)
Under 10.5 59.35% (+0.33)

Telstar Goals

Over 1.5 28.41% (+0.34)
Under 1.5 71.59% (-0.33)
Over 2.5 10.22% (+0.34)
Under 2.5 89.78% (-0.33)
Over 3.5 3.23% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 96.77% (-0.08)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5 81.95% (-0.22)
Under 0.5 18.05% (+0.23)
Over 1.5 54.67% (-0.34)
Under 1.5 45.33% (+0.34)
Over 2.5 28.72% (-0.34)
Under 2.5 71.28% (+0.33)
Over 3.5 12.52% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 87.48% (+0.11)

Score analysis

Telstar 22.75%
Draw 22.84%
AZ Alkmaar 54.41%
Telstar
1-0 @ 5.69% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 5.23% (+0.08)
2-0 @ 3.32% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 2.57% (+0.08)
3-2 @ 2.17% (+0.07)
Other @ 2.99% (+0.06)
Total : 22.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.11% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.75% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.27% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.47% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.24% (+0.03)
Total : 22.84%
AZ Alkmaar
0-1 @ 9.37% (-0.08)
1-2 @ 9.36% (-0.08)
0-2 @ 8.67% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 5.91% (-0.10)
0-3 @ 4.93% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.89% (-0.15)
Other @ 12.28% (-0.14)
Total : 54.41%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Oct 5, 2025 3.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT