Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 42.07%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 1-0 (7.54%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%).