Eredivisie
Nijmegen
Jan 24, 2026 5.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Sportpark De Weeren
PEC Zwolle
  • Dirk Proper 23' yellowcard
  • Koki Ogawa 39' goal
  • Deveron Fonville 46' yellowcard
  • Kevin Kers 75' yellowcard
  • Virgil Misidjan 75' yellowcard
  • Brayann Pereira 75' yellowcard
  • Tjaronn Chery 78' goal
  • Jetro Willems 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Younes Namli 15'
  • yellowcard Jan Faberski 76'
  • yellowcard Kaj de Rooij 80'
  • yellowcard Gabriël Reiziger 89'

NEC vs PEC Zwolle - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

NEC

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 8.00pm
NAC Breda 3 - 4 Nijmegen
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Sami Ouaissa

PEC Zwolle

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 5.45pm
PEC Zwolle 3 - 1 AZ
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Shola Shoretire

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 59.71%. A draw had a probability of 22.11% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 18.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%) , while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result

NEC 59.71% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 22.11% ▼ (-0.04)
PEC Zwolle 18.15% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.77% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.83% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 20.17% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 58.85% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 41.15% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 37.04% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 62.96% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 4.5 24.11%
Under 4.5 75.89%

First Half Winner

NEC 43.68% ▲ (+0.03)
Draw 37.8% ▼ (-0.04)
PEC Zwolle 18.52%

Team To Score First

NEC 63.69% ▼ (-0.04)
No Goal 5.84% ▼ (-0.01)
PEC Zwolle 30.47% ▲ (+0.05)

Corners

Over 8 63.05% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 8 10.43%
Under 8 26.52% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 9 51.99% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.06%
Under 9 36.95% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 10.5 41.19% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 10.5 58.81% ▼ (-0.04)

NEC Goals

Over 1.5 58.15% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 41.85% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 32.67% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 67.33% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 15.94% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 84.06% ▼ (-0.04)

PEC Zwolle Goals

Over 0.5 53.99% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 46.01% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 1.5 23.33% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 76.67% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 7.54% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 92.46% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 97.9% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

NEC 59.69%
Draw 22.12%
PEC Zwolle 18.15%
NEC
2-1 @ 9.94% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 9.58% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.92% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.2%
3-0 @ 5.86% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.42% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 15.77% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 59.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.81% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.84% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.05% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.12%
PEC Zwolle
1-2 @ 5.06% ▲ (+0.02)
0-1 @ 4.71% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 18.15%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
PEC Zwolle
Oct 25, 2025 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Nijmegen
Eredivisie Gameweek 18
PEC Zwolle
Jan 11, 2025 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT MAC³PARK Stadion
Nijmegen
  • Thierry Lutonda 68' yellowcard
  • goal Koki Ogawa 23'
  • yellowcard Bryan Linssen 90'+3'
Eredivisie Gameweek 3
Nijmegen
Aug 24, 2024 5.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Sportpark De Weeren
PEC Zwolle
  • Brayann Pereira 55' yellowcard
  • Rober 87' goal
  • yellowcard Nick Fichtinger 36'
  • yellowcard Anouar El Azzouzi 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Thierry Lutonda 46'
  • redcard Thierry Lutonda 64'
Eredivisie Gameweek 30
Nijmegen
Apr 14, 2024 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Sportpark De Weeren
PEC Zwolle
  • Mees Hoedemakers 27' yellowcard
  • Koki Ogawa 47' goal
  • Koki Ogawa 53' goal
  • Philippe Sandler 86' yellowcard
  • goal Thomas Lam 10'
  • yellowcard Anouar El Azzouzi 28'
  • yellowcard Odysseus Velanas 36'
  • yellowcard Anselmo Garcia McNulty 38'
  • goal Odysseus Velanas 68'
  • yellowcard Lennart Czyborra 90'+2'
Eredivisie Gameweek 15
PEC Zwolle
Dec 9, 2023 7.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT MAC³PARK Stadion
Nijmegen
  • Younes Namli 75' goal
  • Davy van den Berg 90' yellowcard
  • goal Elayis Tavsan 43'
  • goal Bart van Rooij 46'
  • goal Youri Baas 90'+2'
Eredivisie Gameweek 19
PEC Zwolle
Feb 5, 2022 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Nijmegen
  • Yuta Nakayama 8' yellowcard
  • Daishawn Redan 27' goal
  • Siemen Voet 69' redcard
  • Sai van Wermeskerken 86' yellowcard
  • goal Jordy Bruijn 26'
  • yellowcard Javier Vet 42'
  • yellowcard Calvin Verdonk 72'

Form Data

De Treffers 1 - 2 Nijmegen
NAC Breda 3 - 4 Nijmegen
Nijmegen 2 - 2 Ajax
AFC 1 - 3 Nijmegen
Telstar 2 - 2 Nijmegen
Volendam 2 - 3 Nijmegen
PEC Zwolle 3 - 1 AZ
FC Twente 1 - 1 PEC Zwolle
Excelsior 2 - 1 PEC Zwolle
PEC Zwolle 1 - 0 Sittard
Feyenoord 6 - 1 PEC Zwolle
PEC Zwolle 1 - 3 AZ