Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 56.47%. A win for De Treffers had a probability of 23.71% and a draw had a probability of 19.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.38%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest De Treffers win was 2-1 (6.23%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.