Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 41.45%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 31.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 0-1 (9.17%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.