Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 43.14%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.65%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (7.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.