Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 55.21%. A draw had a probability of 22.96% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 21.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%) , while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.