Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 67%. A draw had a probability of 18.87% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 14.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ajax win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (10%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%) , while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.