Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 60.49%. A draw had a probability of 20.54% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 18.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.68%) and 3-1 (7.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.01%) , while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.