/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fazlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F28%2Fneclog.png)
-
Troy Parrott
40'
-
Jizz Hornkamp
65'
-
Ibrahim Sadiq
65'
-
Ayoub Oufkir
65'
-
Seiya Maikuma
65'
-
Mateo Chávez
83'
-
Tjaronn Chery
10'
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Başar Önal
12'
-
Kodai Sano
52'
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Brayann Pereira
75'
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Dirk Proper
76'
-
Philippe Sandler
76'
-
Virgil Misidjan
82'
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Youssef El Kachati
90'+1'
AZ Alkmaar vs NEC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F25%2F10%2Faz-alkmaar.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 48.98%. A win for NEC had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a AZ Alkmaar win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-2 (6.71%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
Result
AZ Alkmaar
48.98%
▲
(+0.24)
Draw
23.7%
▼
(-0.20)
NEC
27.35%
Both Teams to Score:
59.3%
▲
(+0.53)
Goals
Over 1.5
79.68%
▲
(+0.57)
Under 1.5
20.32%
▼
(-0.56)
Over 2.5
58.16%
▲
(+0.67)
Under 2.5
41.84%
▼
(-0.67)
Over 3.5
37%
▲
(+0.50)
Under 3.5
63%
▼
(-0.50)
Over 4.5
22.77%
▲
(+0.31)
Under 4.5
77.23%
▼
(-0.32)
First Half Winner
AZ Alkmaar
40.46%
Draw
34.06%
NEC
25.48%
Team To Score First
AZ Alkmaar
58.37%
▲
(+0.16)
No Goal
5.41%
▼
(-0.25)
NEC
36.22%
▲
(+0.09)
Corners
Over 8
59.75%
Equal 8
10.85%
Under 8
29.41%
Over 9
48.53%
Equal 9
11.22%
Under 9
40.25%
Over 10.5
37.85%
Under 10.5
62.15%
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 1.5
50.68%
▲
(+0.54)
Under 1.5
49.32%
▼
(-0.54)
Over 2.5
25.86%
▲
(+0.36)
Under 2.5
74.14%
▼
(-0.36)
Over 3.5
10.65%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 3.5
89.35%
▼
(-0.18)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5
63.75%
▲
(+0.25)
Under 0.5
36.25%
▼
(-0.25)
Over 1.5
33.05%
▲
(+0.28)
Under 1.5
66.95%
▼
(-0.29)
Over 2.5
12.78%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 2.5
87.22%
▼
(-0.13)
Over 3.5
4.21%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 3.5
95.79%
▼
(-0.04)
Score analysis
AZ Alkmaar
48.98%
Draw
23.7%
NEC
27.35%
AZ Alkmaar
1-0
@
8.93%
▼
(-0.17)
2-1 @ 8.79% ▲ (+0.08)
2-0 @ 7.33% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.49% ▲ (+0.09)
3-0 @ 4.26% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.83% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 10.35% ▲ (+0.17)
Total : 48.98%
2-1 @ 8.79% ▲ (+0.08)
2-0 @ 7.33% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.49% ▲ (+0.09)
3-0 @ 4.26% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.83% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 10.35% ▲ (+0.17)
Total : 48.98%
Draw
1-1
@
10.41%
▼
(-0.07)
2-2 @ 5.95% ▲ (+0.09)
0-0 @ 5.41% ▼ (-0.25)
3-3 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.3% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 23.7%
2-2 @ 5.95% ▲ (+0.09)
0-0 @ 5.41% ▼ (-0.25)
3-3 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.3% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 23.7%
NEC
1-2
@
6.71%
▲
(+0.05)
0-1 @ 6.01% ▼ (-0.13)
0-2 @ 3.78% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.79% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.75% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.91% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 27.35%
0-1 @ 6.01% ▼ (-0.13)
0-2 @ 3.78% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.79% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.75% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.91% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 27.35%