Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 48.31%. A win for NEC has a probability of 27.6% and a draw has a probability of 24.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a AZ Alkmaar win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest NEC win is 1-2 (6.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.57%).