Eredivisie Gameweek 21
Jan 31, 2026 3.30pm
AFAS Stadion

AZ Alkmaar vs NEC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Last game
Jan 25, 2026 11.15am
Telstar 0 - 0 AZ
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Troy Parrott

NEC

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 5.45pm
Nijmegen 2 - 1 PEC Zwolle
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Sami Ouaissa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 48.31%. A win for NEC has a probability of 27.6% and a draw has a probability of 24.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a AZ Alkmaar win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest NEC win is 1-2 (6.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.57%).

Result

AZ Alkmaar 48.31% (+0.02)
Draw 24.13% (+0.02)
NEC 27.6% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.66% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.04% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 20.96% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 57.42% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 42.58% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 36.39% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 63.61% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 22.32% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 77.68% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

AZ Alkmaar 40.06% (-0.01)
Draw 34.39% (+0.05)
NEC 25.54% (-0.06)

Team To Score First

AZ Alkmaar 58.17% (-0.05)
No Goal 5.69% (-0.01)
NEC 36.14% (+0.07)

Corners

Over 8 59.86% (-0.10)
Equal 8 10.84% (+0.01)
Under 8 29.29% (+0.08)
Over 9 48.64% (-0.09)
Equal 9 11.22%
Under 9 40.14% (+0.10)
Over 10.5 37.95% (-0.08)
Under 10.5 62.05% (+0.08)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 1.5 49.74% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 50.26% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 25.23% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 74.77% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 10.37% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 89.63% (+0.04)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5 63.7% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 36.3% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 32.99% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 67.01% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 12.8% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 87.2% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 4.26% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.74% (-0.02)

Score analysis

AZ Alkmaar 48.3%
Draw 24.13%
NEC 27.61%
AZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 9.14% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.63%
2-0 @ 7.24%
3-1 @ 5.34% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.22%
3-2 @ 3.68%
Other @ 10.05% (-0.03)
Total : 48.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.57% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.93% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.69% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.62% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 24.13%
NEC
1-2 @ 6.77%
0-1 @ 6.17% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.81%
1-3 @ 2.8% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.71%
0-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 3.94% (+0.01)
Total : 27.61%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Sep 28, 2025 11.15am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Gameweek 27
Mar 29, 2025 8.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 2
FT Sportpark De Weeren
  • Vito van Crooij 10' goal
  • Bryan Linssen 43' yellowcard
  • Sontje Hansen 45' yellowcard
  • Kento Shiogai 63' goal
  • Vito van Crooij 71' goal
  • Kodai Sano 76' yellowcard
  • goal Ibrahim Sadiq 4'
  • goal Ernest Poku 32'
  • yellowcard Kristijan Belic 34'
  • yellowcard Wouter Goes 43'
  • goal Troy Parrott 46'
Eredivisie Gameweek 2
Aug 17, 2024 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne
  • Sven Mijnans 16' goal
  • David Moller Wolfe 22' yellowcard
  • Riechedly Bazoer 90'+9' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mees Hoedemakers 15'
  • yellowcard Ivan Marquez 90'+5'
Eredivisie Gameweek 31
Apr 28, 2024 11.15am
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Sportpark De Weeren
  • Dirk Proper 66' yellowcard
  • Kodai Sano 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Dani de Wit 16'
  • yellowcard Dani de Wit 34'
  • yellowcard Vangelis Pavlidis 49'
  • goal Vangelis Pavlidis 58'
  • yellowcard Yukinari Sugawara 74'
  • yellowcard Mees de Wit 87'
  • goal Ernest Poku 90'+5'
Eredivisie Gameweek 10
Dec 6, 2023 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT AFAS Stadion
  • Vangelis Pavlidis 57' goal
  • goal Bas Dost 11'
  • goal Magnus Mattsson 31'
  • yellowcard Sai van Wermeskerken 55'
Eredivisie Gameweek 33
May 21, 2023 1.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • goal Jesper Karlsson 28'
  • goal Jordy Clasie 43'
  • goal Jesper Karlsson 50'