Eredivisie
AZ
Mar 15, 2026 1.30pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT AFAS Stadion
Heracles
  • Troy Parrott 5' goal
  • Isak Jensen 32' yellowcard
  • Sven Mijnans 45'+1' goal
  • Ibrahim Sadiq 60' yellowcard
  • Denso Kasius 60' yellowcard
  • Mees de Wit 74' goal
  • Mexx Meerdink 76' yellowcard
  • Kasper Boogaard 76' yellowcard
  • Isak Jensen 84' goal
  • yellowcard Mimeirhel Benita 46'
  • yellowcard Sem Scheperman 46'
  • yellowcard Tristan van Gilst 56'
  • yellowcard Thomas Bruns 71'

AZ Alkmaar vs Heracles - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Last game
Mar 7, 2026 7.00pm
PSV 2 - 1 AZ
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Troy Parrott

Heracles

All competitions
Last game
Mar 6, 2026 7.00pm
Heracles 0 - 0 Utrecht
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Jizz Hornkamp

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 75.46%. A draw had a probability of 15.45% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 9.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.89%) and 3-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.96%) , while for a Heracles win it was 0-1 (3.16%).

Result

AZ Alkmaar 75.46% ▼ (-0.07)
Draw 15.45% ▲ (+0.03)
Heracles 9.09% ▲ (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.75% ▼ (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.11% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 1.5 17.89% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 2.5 62.89% ▼ (-0.26)
Under 2.5 37.11% ▲ (+0.26)
Over 3.5 41.71% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 3.5 58.3% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 4.5 31.79% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 4.5 68.21% ▲ (+0.23)

First Half Winner

AZ Alkmaar 58.64%
Draw 28.09% ▲ (+0.02)
Heracles 13.27%

Team To Score First

AZ Alkmaar 73.64% ▼ (-0.02)
No Goal 4.84% ▲ (+0.02)
Heracles 21.52%

Corners

Over 8 70.4% ▼ (-0.02)
Equal 8 9.28% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 8 20.32%
Over 9 59.96% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 9 10.44% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 9 29.6% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 10.5 49.15% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 10.5 50.85% ▲ (+0.08)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 1.5 69.8% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 1.5 30.2% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 2.5 46.62% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 2.5 53.38% ▲ (+0.29)
Over 3.5 27.76% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 3.5 72.24% ▲ (+0.23)

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5 37.18% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 0.5 62.82% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 1.5 12.05% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 87.95% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 2.6% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 97.4% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 0.41% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 99.59% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

AZ Alkmaar 75.45%
Draw 15.46%
Heracles 9.09%
AZ Alkmaar
2-0 @ 11.06% ▲ (+0.10)
1-0 @ 9.89% ▲ (+0.09)
3-0 @ 9.3% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.52% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 6.49% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.46% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 27.73% ▼ (-0.24)
Total : 75.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.96% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 4.84% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 3.02%
Other @ 0.03%
Total : 15.46%
Heracles
0-1 @ 3.16% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 2.78% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.38% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 9.09%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Heracles
Sep 14, 2025 1.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
AZ
Eredivisie Gameweek 29
Heracles
Apr 13, 2025 1.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Erve Asito
AZ
  • Thomas Bruns 17' yellowcard
  • Jizz Hornkamp 47' goal
  • Jordy Bruijn 84' yellowcard
KNVB Beker
Heracles
Feb 27, 2025 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
ET Erve Asito
AZ
  • Damon Mirani 17' goal
  • Luka Kulenovic 30' yellowcard
  • Ivan Mesik 43' yellowcard
  • Brian De Keersmaecker 73' yellowcard
  • Suf Podgoreanu 80' goal
  • Mario Engels 108' yellowcard
  • Mimeirhel Benita 108' yellowcard
  • Mimeirhel Benita 108' yellowcard
  • Mario Engels 115' yellowcard
  • Fabian de Keijzer 127' yellowcard
  • goal Ernest Poku 12'
  • goal Mayckel Lahdo 28'
  • yellowcard Wouter Goes 31'
  • yellowcard Alexandre Penetra 65'
  • yellowcard Mees de Wit 69'
  • yellowcard Kees Smit 115'
  • yellowcard Kees Smit 116'
  • yellowcard Alexandre Penetra 127'
Eredivisie Gameweek 14
AZ
Dec 1, 2024 1.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT AFAS Stadion
Heracles
  • Mayckel Lahdo 89' goal
  • yellowcard Sem Scheperman 75'
  • yellowcard Jizz Hornkamp 79'
  • yellowcard Thomas Bruns 90'+3'
Eredivisie Gameweek 28
Heracles
Apr 3, 2024 5.45pm
5
0
HT : 3 0
FT Polman Stadion
AZ
  • Brian De Keersmaecker 15' yellowcard
  • Brian De Keersmaecker 19' goal
  • Justin Hoogma 34' yellowcard
  • Jizz Hornkamp 38' goal
  • Jizz Hornkamp 40' goal
  • Mohamed Sankoh 90' goal
  • Mohamed Sankoh 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Kristijan Belic 45'
Eredivisie Gameweek 3
AZ
Sep 28, 2023 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT AFAS Stadion
Heracles
  • Vangelis Pavlidis 13' goal
  • Ibrahim Sadiq 87' yellowcard
  • goal Anas Ouahim 53'
  • yellowcard Brian De Keersmaecker 56'
  • yellowcard Navajo Bakboord 82'
  • yellowcard Marko Vejinovic 89'

Form Data

AZ 2 - 1 Sparta Prague
PSV 2 - 1 AZ
AZ 2 - 1 Telstar
Utrecht 2 - 0 AZ
AZ 4 - 0 Noah
AZ 3 - 1 Sparta
Heracles 0 - 0 Utrecht
Heracles 1 - 3 PSV
Go Ahead Eagles 4 - 0 Heracles
Heracles 0 - 1 NAC Breda
Nijmegen 4 - 1 Heracles
Heracles 2 - 1 Sittard