Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 43.71%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 0-1 (7.49%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.