Eredivisie
Feb 14, 2026 3.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Asito Stadion
  • Rhys Bozinovski 60' yellowcard
  • Erik Ahlstrand 61' yellowcard
  • Thomas Bruns 90' yellowcard
  • Tristan van Gilst 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Denis Odoi 36'
  • yellowcard Amine Salama 75'
  • yellowcard Clint Leemans 80'
  • yellowcard Boyd Lucassen 84'
  • yellowcard Enes Mahmutovic 85'

Heracles vs NAC Breda - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Heracles

All competitions
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 3.30pm
Nijmegen 4 - 1 Heracles
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Jizz Hornkamp

NAC Breda

All competitions
Last game
Feb 6, 2026 7.00pm
NAC Breda 0 - 2 Excelsior
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Moussa Soumano

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 43.71%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 0-1 (7.49%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result

Heracles 43.71% (+0.15)
Draw 26.06% (+0.09)
NAC Breda 30.22% (-0.23)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.75% (-0.46)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.59% (-0.41)
Under 1.5 24.41% (+0.42)
Over 2.5 52% (-0.75)
Under 2.5 48% (+0.75)
Over 3.5 30.39% (-0.75)
Under 3.5 69.61% (+0.79)
Over 4.5 17.28% (-0.54)
Under 4.5 82.72% (+0.54)

First Half Winner

Heracles 32.89% (+0.03)
Draw 40.89% (-0.11)
NAC Breda 26.22% (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Heracles 52.55% (-0.20)
No Goal 6.88% (+0.14)
NAC Breda 40.57% (+0.05)

Corners

Over 8 61.53% (+0.04)
Equal 8 11.37%
Under 8 27.09% (-0.04)
Over 9 49.57% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.96%
Under 9 38.47% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 38.09% (+0.03)
Under 10.5 61.91% (-0.03)

Heracles Goals

Over 1.5 43.5% (-0.30)
Under 1.5 56.5% (+0.30)
Over 2.5 19.39% (-0.29)
Under 2.5 80.61% (+0.30)
Over 3.5 6.94% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 93.06% (+0.19)

NAC Breda Goals

Over 0.5 65.4% (-0.30)
Under 0.5 34.6% (+0.31)
Over 1.5 33.07% (-0.57)
Under 1.5 66.93% (+0.57)
Over 2.5 12.46% (-0.49)
Under 2.5 87.54% (+0.50)
Over 3.5 3.81% (-0.21)
Under 3.5 96.19% (+0.21)

Score analysis

Heracles 43.72%
Draw 26.07%
NAC Breda 30.23%
Heracles
1-0 @ 10.06% (+0.22)
2-1 @ 8.64% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.23% (+0.15)
3-1 @ 4.43% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.71% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.91% (-0.07)
Other @ 6.74% (-0.14)
Total : 43.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.77% (+0.13)
0-0 @ 6.88% (+0.14)
2-2 @ 5.82% (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.2% (-0.04)
Total : 26.07%
NAC Breda
0-1 @ 7.49% (+0.13)
1-2 @ 7.31% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.57% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 2.87% (-0.11)
2-3 @ 2.42% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 1.96% (-0.05)
Other @ 3.61% (-0.17)
Total : 30.23%

Head to Head

KNVB Beker
Oct 29, 2025 7.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Sep 20, 2025 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Gameweek 21
Jan 31, 2025 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Rat Verlegh Stadion
  • Elias Mar Omarsson 4' goal
  • Leo Greiml 71' yellowcard
  • goal Juho Talvitie 54'
Eredivisie Gameweek 11
Nov 2, 2024 5.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Erve Asito
  • Brian De Keersmaecker 39' goal
  • Brian De Keersmaecker 63' goal
  • Ruben Roosken 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leo Greiml 73'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 37
May 12, 2023 7.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Emil Hansson 56'
  • goal Marko Vejinovic 88'
  • goal Lasse Wehmeyer 90'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 15
Nov 11, 2022 7.00pm
5
1
HT : 3 1
FT
  • Thomas Bruns 16' goal
  • Ruben Roosken 30' goal
  • Nikolai Laursen 42' goal
  • Nikolai Laursen 71' goal
  • Emil Hansson 74' goal
  • goal Odysseus Velanas 9'