Eredivisie Gameweek 23
Feb 14, 2026 3.30pm
Asito Stadion

Heracles vs NAC Breda - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Heracles

All competitions
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 3.30pm
Nijmegen 4 - 1 Heracles
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Jizz Hornkamp

NAC Breda

All competitions
Last game
Feb 6, 2026 7.00pm
NAC Breda 0 - 2 Excelsior
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Moussa Soumano

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Heracles win with a probability of 43.56%. A win for NAC Breda has a probability of 30.44% and a draw has a probability of 25.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest NAC Breda win is 0-1 (7.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.64%).

Result

Heracles 43.56% (-0.05)
Draw 25.97% (-0.06)
NAC Breda 30.44% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.2% (+0.31)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.01% (+0.22)
Under 1.5 23.99% (-0.22)
Over 2.5 52.75% (+0.43)
Under 2.5 47.25% (-0.43)
Over 3.5 31.17% (+0.34)
Under 3.5 68.83% (-0.33)
Over 4.5 17.85% (+0.31)
Under 4.5 82.15% (-0.30)

First Half Winner

Heracles 32.87% (+0.02)
Draw 40.99% (-0.13)
NAC Breda 26.14% (+0.11)

Team To Score First

Heracles 52.74% (-0.17)
No Goal 6.74% (-0.09)
NAC Breda 40.52% (+0.25)

Corners

Over 8 61.5% (+0.04)
Equal 8 11.37% (+0.04)
Under 8 27.13% (-0.08)
Over 9 49.54% (-0.03)
Equal 9 11.96% (+0.06)
Under 9 38.5% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 38.07% (-0.07)
Under 10.5 61.93% (+0.08)

Heracles Goals

Over 1.5 43.81% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 56.19% (-0.16)
Over 2.5 19.69% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 80.31% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 7.13% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 92.87% (-0.05)

NAC Breda Goals

Over 0.5 65.71% (+0.19)
Under 0.5 34.29% (-0.19)
Over 1.5 33.64% (+0.33)
Under 1.5 66.36% (-0.33)
Over 2.5 12.97% (+0.26)
Under 2.5 87.03% (-0.27)
Over 3.5 4.03% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 95.97% (-0.15)

Score analysis

Heracles 43.56%
Draw 25.98%
NAC Breda 30.44%
Heracles
1-0 @ 9.86% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 8.61% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 7.09% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 4.45% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.69% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.97% (+0.09)
Other @ 6.89% (+0.01)
Total : 43.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.64% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 6.74% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.91% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.45% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.24% (+0.04)
Total : 25.98%
NAC Breda
0-1 @ 7.37% (-0.10)
1-2 @ 7.28% (+0.07)
0-2 @ 4.51% (-0.11)
1-3 @ 2.98% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.51% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 2% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.79% (+0.11)
Total : 30.44%

Head to Head

KNVB Beker
Oct 29, 2025 7.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Sep 20, 2025 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Gameweek 21
Jan 31, 2025 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Rat Verlegh Stadion
  • Elias Mar Omarsson 4' goal
  • Leo Greiml 71' yellowcard
  • goal Juho Talvitie 54'
Eredivisie Gameweek 11
Nov 2, 2024 5.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Erve Asito
  • Brian De Keersmaecker 39' goal
  • Brian De Keersmaecker 63' goal
  • Ruben Roosken 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leo Greiml 73'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 37
May 12, 2023 7.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Emil Hansson 56'
  • goal Marko Vejinovic 88'
  • goal Lasse Wehmeyer 90'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 15
Nov 11, 2022 7.00pm
5
1
HT : 3 1
FT
  • Thomas Bruns 16' goal
  • Ruben Roosken 30' goal
  • Nikolai Laursen 42' goal
  • Nikolai Laursen 71' goal
  • Emil Hansson 74' goal
  • goal Odysseus Velanas 9'