Eredivisie Gameweek 22
NAC Breda
Feb 6, 2026 7.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Rat Verlegh Stadion
Excelsior
  • Rio Hillen 12' redcard
  • Cherrion Valerius 32' yellowcard
  • Amine Salama 55' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Nassoh 63' yellowcard
  • Andre Ayew 73' yellowcard
  • Lewis Holtby 73' yellowcard
  • Clint Leemans 73' yellowcard
  • André Ayew 73' yellowcard
  • Clint Leemans 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jerolldino Armantrading 14'
  • yellowcard Jerolldino Bergraaf 14'
  • goal Emil Hansson 18'
  • goal Irakli Yegoian 31'
  • yellowcard Miliano Jonathans 46'
  • yellowcard Arthur Zagré 52'
  • yellowcard Simon Jansson 62'
  • yellowcard Simon Janssen 62'
  • yellowcard Miliano Jonathans 68'
  • yellowcard Adam Carlen 70'
  • yellowcard Stan Hendrikx 70'
  • yellowcard Adam Carlén 70'
  • yellowcard Stan Henderikx 70'

NAC Breda vs SBV Excelsior - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

NAC Breda

All competitions
Last game
Jan 30, 2026 7.00pm
NAC Breda 2 - 2 FC Twente
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Mohamed Nassoh

SBV Excelsior

All competitions
Last game
Feb 1, 2026 11.15am
Excelsior 2 - 2 Ajax
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Noah Naujoks

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 47.43%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 27.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 0-1 (7.04%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result

NAC Breda 47.43%
Draw 25.58%
SBV Excelsior 27.03%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.92%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.59% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 24.41% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 51.85%
Under 2.5 48.15%
Over 3.5 30.77%
Under 3.5 69.23%
Over 4.5 17.81%
Under 4.5 82.19%

First Half Winner

NAC Breda 39.77%
Draw 36.33%
SBV Excelsior 23.9%

Team To Score First

NAC Breda 54.71%
No Goal 7.04%
SBV Excelsior 38.25%

Corners

Over 8 65.82%
Equal 8 10.86%
Under 8 23.32%
Over 9 53.97%
Equal 9 11.85%
Under 9 34.18%
Over 10.5 42.19%
Under 10.5 57.81%

NAC Breda Goals

Over 1.5 45.97% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 54.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 21.63% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 78.37% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 8.39%
Under 3.5 91.61%

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5 62.73% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 37.27% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 29.79%
Under 1.5 70.21%
Over 2.5 10.42%
Under 2.5 89.58%
Over 3.5 3.22%
Under 3.5 96.78%

Score analysis

NAC Breda 47.43%
Draw 25.56%
SBV Excelsior 27.02%
NAC Breda
1-0 @ 10.34%
2-1 @ 9.11%
2-0 @ 7.68%
3-1 @ 5%
3-0 @ 4.01% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.08%
Other @ 8.21%
Total : 47.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.79% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 7.04%
2-2 @ 5.4%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.56%
SBV Excelsior
0-1 @ 7.04%
1-2 @ 6.6%
0-2 @ 4.29%
1-3 @ 2.55%
2-3 @ 2.15%
0-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 27.02%

Head to Head

Eredivisie
Excelsior
Nov 29, 2025 3.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
NAC Breda
  • Casper Widell 6' yellowcard
  • Noah Naujoks 23' goal
  • Irakli Yegoian 65' yellowcard
  • 65' yellowcard
  • Arthur Zagre 81' yellowcard
  • Arthur Zagré 81' yellowcard
  • Rick Meissen 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rio Hillen 45'
Club Friendlies 3
NAC Breda
Jul 20, 2024 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Rat Verlegh Stadion
Excelsior
  • Elias Mar Omarsson 70' goal
  • goal Mike van Duinen 87'
Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Excelsior
Jun 2, 2024 5.00pm
4
1
HT : 3 0
FT Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
NAC Breda
  • Troy Parrott 20' goal
  • Troy Parrott 35' goal
  • Boy Kemper 42' goal
  • Troy Parrott 50' goal
  • goal Casper Staring 58'
  • yellowcard Matthew Garbett 63'
  • yellowcard Casper Staring 85'
Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
NAC Breda
May 28, 2024 7.00pm
6
2
HT : 3 2
FT Rat Verlegh Stadion
Excelsior
  • Aime Omgba 12' goal
  • Boyd Lucassen 17' yellowcard
  • Dominik Janosek 39' goal
  • Jan Van den Bergh 42' goal
  • Pepijn van de Merbel 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Casper Staring 52' yellowcard
  • Martin Koscelnik 74' goal
  • Elias Mar Omarsson 78' goal
  • Elias Mar Omarsson 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Arthur Zagre 15'
  • goal Lance Duijvestijn 25'
  • redcard Lance Duijvestijn 38'
  • goal Troy Parrott 45'+6'
  • redcard Arthur Zagre 72'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 38
Excelsior
May 6, 2022 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
NAC Breda
  • Thijs Dallinga 45'+1' goal
  • Reuven Niemeijer 48' goal
  • Couhaib Driouech 71' yellowcard
  • goal Odysseus Velanas 10'
  • yellowcard Ezechiel Banzuzi 65'
  • yellowcard Odysseus Velanas 71'
  • goal Dion Malone 90'+4'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 9
NAC Breda
Oct 1, 2021 7.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Excelsior
  • Odysseus Velanas 19' yellowcard
  • Thom Haye 35' yellowcard
  • Thom Haye 45'+1' goal
  • Redouan El Yaakoubi 71' goal
  • Ralf Seuntjens 85' goal
  • Kaj de Rooij 87' goal
  • yellowcard Sven Nieuwpoort 45'+1'
  • goal Modeste Duku 64'

Form Data

NAC Breda 2 - 2 FC Twente
PSV 2 - 2 NAC Breda
NAC Breda 3 - 4 Nijmegen
Groningen 0 - 0 NAC Breda
NAC Breda 0 - 1 Telstar
NAC Breda 1 - 1 Utrecht
Excelsior 2 - 2 Ajax
FC Twente 0 - 0 Excelsior
AZ 1 - 1 Excelsior
Excelsior 2 - 2 Telstar
PSV 5 - 1 Excelsior
Excelsior 2 - 1 PEC Zwolle