Eredivisie Gameweek 22
Feb 6, 2026 7.00pm
Rat Verlegh Stadion

NAC Breda vs SBV Excelsior - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

NAC Breda

All competitions
Last game
Jan 30, 2026 7.00pm
NAC Breda 2 - 2 FC Twente
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Moussa Soumano

SBV Excelsior

All competitions
Last game
Feb 1, 2026 11.15am
Excelsior 0 - 1 Ajax
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Noah Naujoks

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a NAC Breda win with a probability of 47.46%. A win for SBV Excelsior has a probability of 26.93% and a draw has a probability of 25.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win is 0-1 (7.02%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.78%).

Result

NAC Breda 47.46% (-0.93)
Draw 25.64% (+0.43)
SBV Excelsior 26.93% (+0.54)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.91% (-0.47)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.61% (-0.41)
Under 1.5 24.39% (+0.41)
Over 2.5 51.89% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 48.11% (+0.18)
Over 3.5 30.79% (+0.58)
Under 3.5 69.21% (-0.58)
Over 4.5 17.85% (+0.57)
Under 4.5 82.15% (-0.56)

First Half Winner

NAC Breda 39.72% (-0.97)
Draw 36.43% (-0.25)
SBV Excelsior 23.85% (+1.23)

Team To Score First

NAC Breda 54.47% (-0.04)
No Goal 7.07% (+0.38)
SBV Excelsior 38.46% (-0.33)

Corners

Over 8 65.64% (+2.28)
Equal 8 10.86% (+0.01)
Under 8 23.5% (-2.29)
Over 9 53.8% (+1.98)
Equal 9 11.84% (+0.29)
Under 9 34.36% (-2.28)
Over 10.5 42.06% (+1.50)
Under 10.5 57.94% (-1.50)

NAC Breda Goals

Over 1.5 46.05% (-0.55)
Under 1.5 53.95% (+0.55)
Over 2.5 21.72% (-0.18)
Under 2.5 78.28% (+0.19)
Over 3.5 8.46% (+0.32)
Under 3.5 91.54% (-0.31)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5 62.69% (-0.14)
Under 0.5 37.31% (+0.14)
Over 1.5 29.76% (+0.49)
Under 1.5 70.24% (-0.49)
Over 2.5 10.45% (+0.62)
Under 2.5 89.55% (-0.63)
Over 3.5 3.24% (+0.25)
Under 3.5 96.76% (-0.24)

Score analysis

NAC Breda 47.47%
Draw 25.65%
SBV Excelsior 26.93%
NAC Breda
1-0 @ 10.35% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.12% (-0.37)
2-0 @ 7.67% (-0.22)
3-1 @ 5.01% (-0.17)
3-0 @ 4.02% (-0.24)
3-2 @ 3.05% (-0.19)
Other @ 8.25% (+0.24)
Total : 47.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.78% (-0.15)
0-0 @ 7.07% (+0.38)
2-2 @ 5.41% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.18% (+0.08)
Other @ 0.21% (+0.08)
Total : 25.65%
SBV Excelsior
0-1 @ 7.02% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 6.6% (-0.07)
0-2 @ 4.25% (+0.08)
1-3 @ 2.54% (+0.17)
2-3 @ 2.13% (+0.19)
0-3 @ 1.36% (-0.05)
Other @ 3.03% (+0.16)
Total : 26.93%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Nov 29, 2025 3.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Casper Widell 6' yellowcard
  • Noah Naujoks 23' goal
  • Irakli Yegoian 65' yellowcard
  • 65' yellowcard
  • Arthur Zagre 81' yellowcard
  • Rick Meissen 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rio Hillen 45'
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 20, 2024 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Rat Verlegh Stadion
  • Elias Mar Omarsson 70' goal
  • goal Mike van Duinen 87'
Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Jun 2, 2024 5.00pm
4
1
HT : 3 0
FT Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
  • Troy Parrott 20' goal
  • Troy Parrott 35' goal
  • Boy Kemper 42' goal
  • Troy Parrott 50' goal
  • goal Casper Staring 58'
  • yellowcard Matthew Garbett 63'
  • yellowcard Casper Staring 85'
Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
May 28, 2024 7.00pm
6
2
HT : 3 2
FT Rat Verlegh Stadion
  • Aime Omgba 12' goal
  • Boyd Lucassen 17' yellowcard
  • Dominik Janosek 39' goal
  • Jan Van den Bergh 42' goal
  • Pepijn van de Merbel 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Casper Staring 52' yellowcard
  • Martin Koscelnik 74' goal
  • Elias Mar Omarsson 78' goal
  • Elias Mar Omarsson 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Arthur Zagre 15'
  • goal Lance Duijvestijn 25'
  • redcard Lance Duijvestijn 38'
  • goal Troy Parrott 45'+6'
  • redcard Arthur Zagre 72'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 38
May 6, 2022 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Thijs Dallinga 45'+1' goal
  • Reuven Niemeijer 48' goal
  • Couhaib Driouech 71' yellowcard
  • goal Odysseus Velanas 10'
  • yellowcard Ezechiel Banzuzi 65'
  • yellowcard Odysseus Velanas 71'
  • goal Dion Malone 90'+4'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 9
Oct 1, 2021 7.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Odysseus Velanas 19' yellowcard
  • Thom Haye 35' yellowcard
  • Thom Haye 45'+1' goal
  • Redouan El Yaakoubi 71' goal
  • Ralf Seuntjens 85' goal
  • Kaj de Rooij 87' goal
  • yellowcard Sven Nieuwpoort 45'+1'
  • goal Modeste Duku 64'