Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ajax win with a probability of 42.83%. A win for SBV Excelsior has a probability of 34.7% and a draw has a probability of 22.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ajax win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.77%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win is 2-1 (7.5%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.01%).