Champions League
Jan 28, 2026 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Johan Cruijff Arena
  • Kasper Dolberg 69' yellowcard
  • Oliver Valaker Edvardsen 69' yellowcard
  • Rayane Bounida 69' yellowcard
  • Oliver Edvardsen 69' yellowcard
  • Wout Weghorst 80' yellowcard
  • Jorthy Mokio 80' yellowcard
  • Pharell Nash 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Giulian Biancone 28'
  • yellowcard Giulian Biancone 29'
  • goal Gelson Martins 52'
  • yellowcard Lorenzo Scipioni 72'
  • yellowcard Ayoub El Kaabi 72'
  • yellowcard Chiquinho 72'
  • goal Santiago Hezze 79'
  • yellowcard Bruno Onyemaechi 88'
  • yellowcard Daniel Podence 88'

Ajax vs Olympiacos - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jan 20, 2026 8.00pm
Villarreal 1 - 2 Ajax

Olympiacos

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jan 20, 2026 8.00pm
Olympiacos 2 - 0 B. Leverkusen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 33.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Ajax win was 2-1 (7.75%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result

Ajax 33.64%
Draw 23.3% (-0.02)
Olympiacos 43.06% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.28% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.16% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 20.84% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 57.3% (+0.19)
Under 2.5 42.7% (-0.19)
Over 3.5 35.04% (+0.18)
Under 3.5 64.96% (-0.18)
Over 4.5 21.09% (+0.15)
Under 4.5 78.91% (-0.15)

First Half Winner

Ajax 24.99% (-0.04)
Draw 44.28% (+0.01)
Olympiacos 30.73% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Ajax 44.65% (+0.01)
No Goal 5.37% (-0.04)
Olympiacos 49.98% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 50.56% (-0.01)
Equal 8 11.17%
Under 8 38.27% (+0.02)
Over 9 39.77% (-0.01)
Equal 9 10.79%
Under 9 49.44% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 30.15% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 69.85% (+0.01)

Ajax Goals

Over 1.5 37.6% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 62.4% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 15.65% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 84.35% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 5.59% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 94.41% (-0.05)

Olympiacos Goals

Over 0.5 74.93% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 25.07% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 44.9% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 55.1% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 21.14% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 78.86% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 7.66% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 92.34% (-0.07)

Score analysis

Ajax 33.64%
Draw 23.29%
Olympiacos 43.06%
Ajax
2-1 @ 7.75% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.11% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 4.83% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.38% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.82% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.35% (+0.03)
Other @ 5.4% (+0.04)
Total : 33.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.55% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.67% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.37% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.51% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.19% (+0.02)
Total : 23.29%
Olympiacos
1-2 @ 8.79%
0-1 @ 8.35% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 6.48% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 4.88%
2-3 @ 3.7% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 3.39% (+0.02)
Other @ 7.47% (+0.06)
Total : 43.06%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 1
Jul 19, 2024 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Johan Cruijff Arena
  • Carlos Borges 43' goal
  • Chuba Akpom 80' yellowcard