Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 33.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Ajax win was 2-1 (7.75%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.