Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 53.16%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 24.85% and a draw had a probability of 21.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.61%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Heracles win was 1-2 (6.06%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.